‘The Situation is Dire’: War on Iran Constricts India's Kitchen Fuel Supplies.
The repercussions of a military engagement being fought nearly 1,864 miles away are now reaching India's households.
As aerial attacks on Iran hinder energy deliveries through the Strait of Hormuz, availability of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) are tightening across India, compelling restaurants to reduce offerings, close earlier and in some cases close completely.
Social media is awash with video clips showing crowds outside LPG distributors across Indian cities and towns as anxieties over fuel supplies escalate. Commercial LPG users appear the hardest struck: the biggest crunch is in commercial eateries.
"The state of affairs is alarming. Kitchen fuel simply isn't available," says a official of the an industry group.
Most food outlets run either on commercial LPG cylinders or direct gas lines, and the shortages are now being experienced across the country. "A lot of restaurants have closed - some in Delhi, many in the southern region. People are switching to coal and wood and induction stoves to keep kitchens going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a western metro, media reports say up to a 20% of hotels and restaurants are already completely or partially closed as business fuel stocks tighten. In the southern cities of Bangalore and Madras, some eateries say their cylinder inventory have dwindled with minimal reserves. "We can only make coffee and no other dishes - it is truly dismal. Operations will be impacted," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are seeking alternatives. "Food options are being cut, some are cutting lunch service and reducing hours," an industry representative says, adding that stoppages are fluctuating as supplies wax and wane. "Several establishments in Delhi were shut yesterday - some have resumed operations. It's a changing landscape."
Retailers observe a spike in sales of induction stoves, with some saying they are selling out quickly.
Authority's View
Yet, the government maintains there is no shortage.
India has more than a vast number of home fuel subscribers and authorities say cylinders are being prioritized to households as conflict-related stress from the Middle East conflict ripple through energy markets.
Approximately six out of ten of India's LPG is sourced from abroad, and about nine out of ten of those shipments pass through the critical waterway, the strategic bottleneck now effectively closed by the hostilities.
The petroleum ministry says that it instructed refineries to boost LPG output for domestic use, lifting domestic production by about 25%. Commercial stock is being allocated for critical services such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "just and open".
"Some panic booking and hoarding has been caused by misinformation. The normal delivery cycle for home fuel remains about under three days," says a ministry representative.
Growing Panic
Now the concern is extending beyond kitchens. On digital platforms, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of two-wheelers outside a gas outlet. "The panic is real," the caption reads.
According to data from market experts, concerns about India's broader energy security may be exaggerated.
India imports 90% of its oil. Around 50% of its crude oil imports - about 2.5 to 2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the waterway, largely from Gulf countries.
Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked, the gap could be partly made up by higher imports of competitively priced oil from Russia, according to a refinery and oil markets analyst.
Based on maritime intelligence and expert analysis, increased Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, reducing India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about a substantial volume of barrels a day.
"A large quantity of Russian oil barrels are currently on the water in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a viable alternative," an analyst noted.
Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness
The real vulnerability is kitchen fuel, experts note.
India consumes roughly 1 million barrels a day, but produces only a minority share domestically, importing the rest - the vast majority through Hormuz.
Refineries can tweak operations to extract a bit more LPG, but even a 10-20% boost would only lift domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country heavily reliant on imports.
In short: "Oil import vulnerability can be moderately reduced through alternative sourcing. Refined product supply remains relatively comfortable. LPG availability is the key factor to watch in the coming weeks."
What may be worsening the anxiety on the ground is not just tight supply but uneven distribution - and the familiar spectre of panic buying.
An industry representative states exploitative practices.
"Suppliers are misusing the situation - illegally trading canisters and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being stockpiled and sold at a premium."
For now, India's petroleum stocks may be buffered by worldwide shipping. But in kitchens across the country, the more urgent issue is simple: how to get the next cylinder.